I hesitate to say that Democrats should learn anything from Trump, but FL Dems at the very least should take a few notes on the torture chamber that Trump and his allied PACs are about to put Desantis in. Part of the reason why Desantis was created is because of our ineptitude.
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 15, 2023
Political analysts have been making the same mistake with DeSantis they did with Walker, assuming that the air of inevitability shown in the safe and protected phase of the campaign will hold up when the bullets start to fly. As we've been pointing out since at least August, DeSantis is a weak politician. The unprecedented build up he's gotten from the conservative (and often the mainstream) press failed to hide just how devoid of charisma and personality he is. His likeliest path to the nomination was to stake out a position to the right of Trump (particularly with the anti-vaxxers), then hope that disease, death, or imprisonment would take out his rival, leaving him to fill the vacuum with his personal void.
Now that the battle is heating up, you can see the oracles start backing away from the next-big-thing narrative, perhaps thinking of how earlier predictions turned out.
Kinda disappointed in myself that I missed the 10 year anniversary of this classic pic.twitter.com/A8tsy0GJfT
— Roland Dreier (@rolanddreier) March 15, 2023
Trump has filed an ethics complaint against Desantis for trying to run a shadow campaign for president without declaring to subvert campaign finance laws. https://t.co/HWXPGZNmzX
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 15, 2023
Tiny D pic.twitter.com/zHblE0eIj8
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 13, 2023
Quick side note, Tom Bonier has become the political numbers guy to watch.
Part of this was driven by a sense of inevitability, that he couldn't be beat. His agenda is incredibly unpopular, and he won't benefit from the same phenomena nationally.
— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) March 11, 2023
And, of course, Chait is always worth listening to.
Fascism has many definitions. By the one most people think of, a single-party state in which effective political opposition is impossible, the GOP is not fascist. But it is growing more authoritarian, and @dbessner obscures this danger. https://t.co/9Lr9TxBqhF
— Jonathan Chait (@jonathanchait) March 13, 2023
From a policy standpoint, DeSantis was to the right of Trump on every issue except Ukraine. We knew that wasn't going to last.
Making his first foray into foreign policy, the Florida culture warrior managed simultaneously to look both weak and out of his depth. @davidfrum summed it up: “Message: Tough on drag queens. Weak on national security.”
— Charlie Sykes (@SykesCharlie) March 15, 2023
https://t.co/LIFJpeOewy
If Mexico invaded Texas, would it be a “territorial dispute”? DeSantis’s betrayal of Ukraine (revealed on pro-Putin propagandist Tucker Carlson’s show, no less) is an ominous indication of where DeSantis and the GOP base are heading https://t.co/nQYktT6LLy
— Jennifer "Pro-privacy" Rubin (@JRubinBlogger) March 15, 2023
Stat of the Day: 9%
— John Anzalone (@JohnAnzo) March 13, 2023
Only 9% of Americans have a favorable view of Russia according to @Gallup
As recently as 2002, two-thirds (63%) of Americans had a favorable view of Russia. And Putin was President of Russia in 2002. How things have changed.https://t.co/a1PfqLMXZh pic.twitter.com/XO0mP1wME1
Putin's unpopularity makes his hold on Fox et al. all the more remarkable.
We present one and a half minutes of Tucker Carlson parroting Vladimir Putin. New video from RAP: pic.twitter.com/W4ca6Gdrgz
— Republican Accountability (@AccountableGOP) March 14, 2023
Putin’s US Spokesperson: Zelensky is “literally shutting churches and arresting priests and nuns. This is happening on the internet.” pic.twitter.com/r55aYhffyi
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 15, 2023
Of course, there are still those in establishment warrens like the Brookings Institution trying to paint DeSantis as a normal politician, but they aren't getting much traction.BREAKING: Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, is reportedly under FEDERAL INVESTIGATION for money laundering in connection to two payments made to them, totaling $8 MILLION from entities reportedly controlled by allies of Vladimir Putin.
— Brian Krassenstein (@krassenstein) March 15, 2023
Details:
- In December… https://t.co/xBfxlQgMkP
There is no real place for normal in today's GOP.To argue that “mass killings … would simply not be possible” in America is a take so divorced from American history I don’t even know where to begin https://t.co/aES6S756QW
— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) March 13, 2023
Paul Gosar says he expects there to be criminal referrals coming from the House seeking the prosecution of Liz Cheney, other Members of the J6 Committee, and for some military officers. pic.twitter.com/6s0u41B9Yl
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 12, 2023
Just for the record, this is nonsense pic.twitter.com/chCDZ3D2OY
— Kai Ryssdal (@kairyssdal) March 13, 2023
There’s a reason she worded it so specifically. https://t.co/z2Kp0kLqnn pic.twitter.com/43OoxwKqPk
— Charles Gaba (@charles_gaba) March 11, 2023
Excellent points from Grossman and Sewer.
exactly. it's like defining "socialist" as those who believe in 99% tax rates and then applying the label to people who want to raise the top rate from 37% to 38% https://t.co/uhocIjlFFV
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) March 15, 2023
Sometimes when people say "woke" they mean "liberals being self-righteous and vicious about trivial things" and sometimes they mean "integration," or "civil rights laws" or "black people on television" and it's convenient not to have to explain what you actually mean.
— Adam Serwer ๐ (@AdamSerwer) March 15, 2023
The irony of Bannon playing the Hitler card
Bannon says when Musk was cut off from govt subsidies “he went begging the CCP, that’s why they have the joint venture. This guy lives on govt contracts and taxpayer subsidies. You’re not even an American, all you are is a globalist. You would take a check from Adolph Hitler.” pic.twitter.com/7gXpCwlzAA
— Ron Filipkowski ๐บ๐ฆ (@RonFilipkowski) March 11, 2023
Forget all that stuff we said about the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the WSJ has the real scoop.
I also learned BLM = HBCUs"I'm not saying 12 white men would have avoided this mess, but..."
— Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) March 13, 2023
Genuinely disgusting take from the @WSJ opinion page. pic.twitter.com/NQpwezNkTm
Wokeness is so much better an explanation than incompetence and bad business practices.Rarely do I stumble upon something quite so gross and stupid as this. So if you'll indulge me for a brief thread, I'd appreciate it. ๐งต https://t.co/nby16cg3j5 via @TPM
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 15, 2023
“.. If SVB was vulnerable to a rapid run-up in interest rates, it’s because it catered to an industry where showering unproven companies with cash is the norm ..”@latimes $SIVB https://t.co/y4d7n3CsZD
— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) March 13, 2023
Since the WSJ has explained everything, I guess we can skip this article from Linette Lopez.
In my latest for @BusinessInsider I get real: Silicon Valley Bank's collapse was a result of dumb risk taken on by the tech industry, and VCs should be ashamed of themselves. But they won't be. https://t.co/jT57j82Mib
— Linette Lopez (@lopezlinette) March 15, 2023
Bubbles and bank runs are crises of trust. What does it say that the VCs bailed the second they smelled a problem in their own house? pic.twitter.com/hkCkDWy2fS
— Linette Lopez (@lopezlinette) March 15, 2023
the crypto folks said crypto would destroy traditional banks. and it turns out they were right. at least in two cases.
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 13, 2023
From crypto to AI
I got it wrong. I should be congratulating Sam Altman, the guy who invests in things like the necessary border technology to keep Josรฉ out. Yes I took that out of marketing materials that had a character named Josรฉ who was shot at from a drone. https://t.co/Fikg05izNV
— @timnitGebru@dair-community.social on Mastodon (@timnitGebru) March 12, 2023
I won't even talk about Open AI since I've said a ton.
— @timnitGebru@dair-community.social on Mastodon (@timnitGebru) March 12, 2023
He's such an angel. He's "behind the scenes" helping out his bros in the startup scene. Purely looking at merit you know? https://t.co/Ld3SXJX3P5
My favored measure is avoiding nature/nurture debates, but this is good too.
My measure of intelligence is a recognition that in most matters, all sides are decidedly not equal. https://t.co/qAl0kCML1l
— Grady Booch (@Grady_Booch) March 11, 2023
Could have even gone with a real Chomsky-pilled example๐ https://t.co/AeKOej06fM pic.twitter.com/rnPnVZingb
— Colin Fraser (@colin_fraser) March 9, 2023
And we'll close out the topic with Dean BakerIn a world where endless remixing is effortless, the ability to originate ideas will be increasingly precious.
— Franรงois Chollet (@fchollet) March 13, 2023
Scary thought for the evening: The people who are designing AI couldn't figure out how caps on FDIC deposit insurance work.
— Dean Baker (@DeanBaker13) March 13, 2023
Great thread on military technology from our favorite historical blogger.
Teaching modern military history one thing that is interesting in the modern era is the increasing prevalence of weapon systems that never really 'had their day,' a product of the increasing pace of technological change paired with decreasing rates of warfare.
— Bret Devereaux (@BretDevereaux) March 12, 2023
Dis-disinformation
THREAD: How to verify images online?
— Shayan Sardarizadeh (@Shayan86) March 9, 2023
Social media is awash with false or misleading images, some of which get millions of engagements.
So, here's a simple guide on ways you can quickly check the veracity of an image you see on your social media feeds. pic.twitter.com/JobLpXcoGn
Cool legal thread (I had no ideas the statute of limitations worked that way).
As others celebrated or denigrated news that the Manhattan DA is considering charges against Trump for his hush-money payments to Stormy Daniels, a wise colleague asked me an important question: How are those charges NOT time barred? 1/ https://t.co/zKLoy4cXA1
— Lisa Rubin (@lawofruby) November 22, 2022
...
And as of Oct. 31, 2019, NBC News calculated that Trump had spent only 20 days at Trump Tower since his inauguration. If that pattern continued -- and Trump likely spent even less time in NY since -- the NYDA has *years* left to charge Trump. 7/
— Lisa Rubin (@lawofruby) November 22, 2022
Those cute toddler videos just got a little more depressing.
A YouTube star who went viral as a toddler talks about the resentment she feels toward her parents, who told her she had to keep making videos so they could maintain their lifestyle
— philip lewis (@Phil_Lewis_) March 11, 2023
Influencer parents and the kids who had their childhood made into content https://t.co/H9yorS1h67 pic.twitter.com/eb25nUT2EZ
Any Ag nerds in the audience?
Today in weird shit I found randomly while tooling around in agricultural data looking for something else:
— Dr Sarah Taber (@SarahTaber_bww) March 8, 2023
"Yeah we're probably MASSIVELY undercounting Indigenous farms NBD"
source: https://t.co/42gX9ZyZtR pic.twitter.com/FqchKK18nw
The GOP and Social Security
The Protasiewicz campaign is airing an ad attacking Dan Kelly for having compared Social Security to slavery (he wrote it was a form of "involuntary servitude" last decade): https://t.co/PNF7fWBlos pic.twitter.com/0UMtkGLXYQ
— Taniel (@Taniel) March 15, 2023
Also the party of local control and parents' rightsThis was…3 days ago. https://t.co/1iCVHhpW8m pic.twitter.com/Di8oeFzkF2
— Rob Friedlander (@RFriedlander46) March 15, 2023
Breaking: The Texas Education Agency on Wednesday confirmed it’s removing Houston ISD's democratically elected school board and superintendent, effectively putting the state in charge of its largest school district. https://t.co/OQCVdXMH7J
— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) March 15, 2023
Not often that we praise the Cato Institute.
Credit where credit is due, @CatoInstitute was right on this issue from the beginning. https://t.co/khX4pzB7PS
— Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D (@RVAwonk) March 13, 2023
About a year ago, Josh Marshall set up a couple of lists on the war in Ukraine. They were enormously useful, providing timely and insightful news and commentary from trustworthy sources. Based on that track record, this should definitely be worth your time.
List I'm using to track finance/macro-economy issues right now. As usual, not meant to be exhaustive. First stab at a list of what I consider reliable sources of info and technical expertise on banking crises/broader econ. Will be added to. https://t.co/qImqfCstkq
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 13, 2023
So I guess libertarians won’t be interested anymore pic.twitter.com/QfyvfsAAJN
— Ken Klippenstein (@kenklippenstein) October 25, 2021
Viviani's Theorem ▲
— Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary) March 13, 2023
in an equilateral triangle ▲
the sum of the distances from any interior point to the 3 sides
is equal to the height of the triangle ▲ pic.twitter.com/XEZNn8V1oK
A classic example of foregrounf/background staging of comedy.
In honor of the 6th Anniversary of @Robert_E_Kelly’s iconic @BBC appearance we are awarding the whole family a Room Rater Lifetime Achievement Award. pic.twitter.com/WYnE4wP6So
— Room Rater (@ratemyskyperoom) March 10, 2023
"Residents hope the next sister city comes with a Google search"
— meghnad ๐ (@Memeghnad) March 15, 2023
that line killed me ๐๐๐๐๐
"Trump has filed an ethics complaint against Desantis for trying to run a shadow campaign for president without declaring to subvert campaign finance laws." The sheer irony of this headline makes me want to implode.
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