White House weighted double Bayesian regressed nomial model. pic.twitter.com/vPSEfSZHxn— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) May 5, 2020
1. A short thread about symmetric death curves curves and the @IMHE_UW model.
Throughout, I'll use a great new tool from @yuorme: https://t.co/FUHfJCr9qq
This allows us to look at how the predictions of the IHME model have changed since it was released in late March.— Carl T. Bergstrom (@CT_Bergstrom) April 15, 2020
You should read the whole thread, but I wanted to call it this tweet in particular.16. In defense of the model, every model is a tool with a purpose. The primary purpose of their model is to predict peak health care need, not the endpoint of the outbreak. That said, people need to be aware of a model's purpose and be cautious when using it for anything else.— Carl T. Bergstrom (@CT_Bergstrom) April 15, 2020
We may disagree on the meaning of contained.Larry Kudlow was just confronted with his claim on Feb 25 that “We have contained this, I won't say airtight, but pretty close to airtight.”
Kudlow's response is that coronavirus *was* contained in February, which....wow pic.twitter.com/aouRB59DxA— Robert Maguire (@RobertMaguire_) May 3, 2020
The Whitmer and Cooper bumps stand out; they had been taking damage from battles with GOP legislatures and were driven below 50%. The battles have continued during pandemic but with the GOP in a weaker position. https://t.co/AO6naHjWY6— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) May 3, 2020
It's an economic crisis that's not about the economy
ex-Obama economist @Austan_Goolsbee: "the number one rule of virus economics - go stop the virus if you want to fix the economy"https://t.co/bsFyOgVU1H— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) May 3, 2020
First word you mention is “life.” I don’t see “portfolio preservation” in there. But I’m not a Constiutional scholar.— Russ Mitchell (@russ1mitchell) May 3, 2020
'We’re still caught in the trap Ailes set.' -- Good piece by @mariabustillos https://t.co/aUvgm6qHqe— Margaret Sullivan (@Sulliview) May 3, 2020
It looks like the erosion in Trump's hard-core base is very real.
His favorability has dropped 11 points among white evangelicals, from 77% in March to 66% now.
It's dropped 12 points among noncollege whites, from 66% to 54% now.
New @PRRIpoll:https://t.co/H6hSKd7PaR pic.twitter.com/wL6Rdm9GVg— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) May 1, 2020
What's wrong with Wall Street #584: During Gilead's quarterly conf call, analysts had one pressing q about its new Covid-19 drug, remdesivir: When will it start making money for the company? https://t.co/UsckU7sdPi— Joe Nocera (@opinion_joe) May 1, 2020
Louisiana Legislature passes election plan after rolling back access to mail-in ballots https://t.co/aYuuw5hjpw via @theadvocatebr— Mark Palko (@MarkPalko1) May 1, 2020
Top 10 Coronavirus clusters in the US? Prisons, meat packing plants, a Navy battleship. Next 10? Prisons, meat packing plants, nursing homes. Next 10? And the 10 after that? Prisons, meat packing plants and nursing homes.... https://t.co/vdXEqlVymY— Gina Neff (@ginasue) April 30, 2020
States are now having to essentially smuggle tests into the US from countries with functioning public health systems. https://t.co/94Q8cCUSLd— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) May 1, 2020
The teen years will not be easy in this household.“Ma’am, quit resisting — and exit the refrigerator...”pic.twitter.com/psD4GYAq5v— Rex Chapman🏇🏼 (@RexChapman) April 30, 2020
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