Comments, observations and thoughts from two bloggers on applied statistics, higher education and epidemiology. Joseph is an associate professor. Mark is a professional statistician and former math teacher.
Friday, June 16, 2023
John Galt
Thursday, June 15, 2023
Thursday Tweets -- I thought we could go two weeks without Musk, but I hadn't counted on dictator nostalgia.
I'm not really a finance guy, but I don't think this is a good sign.
$TSLA SVP Drew Baglino also sold shares this week.
— Suspected Saboteur (@ShortingIsFun) June 14, 2023
Honestly, how convenient for them that $TSLA had this sort of run-up leading to their sales? Amazing luck. https://t.co/i84Cco7xpl pic.twitter.com/hVRt1hIf30
With JB owning no shares of $TSLA, does his economic interest as a #Tesla Board member align with the shareholders? Per @elonmusk: No.
— Suspected Saboteur (@ShortingIsFun) June 14, 2023
H/T @rschmied https://t.co/78jX0ZHC5s pic.twitter.com/M19TCQLgIT
Or this.
Deadbeat non paying tenants getting evicted from Pearl St. https://t.co/9SBZIubL8J
— mountains to oceans. (@mtns2ocean) June 14, 2023
Since we've checked in, Musk has had some memorable tweets...
The so-called fact-checkers are huge liars and incredibly biased
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 14, 2023
But this one stands out.This could effectively mean state-mandated sterilization of your children
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 14, 2023
I didn't believe this was real but I went to look and it is.
— Helen Kennedy (@HelenKennedy) June 14, 2023
Sulla the Dictator is remembered two thousand years later as a terrifying butcher - the first man to seize power in Rome by force. Thousands died in his bloody purges - on a whim, or so he could take their property. pic.twitter.com/200BfpVuFK
I would add: be extra nervous if the dictator-curious individual is also a big fan of Ramesses II, whose blood-soaked megalomania was a bit much even by the blood-soaked standards of Bronze Age kingshiphttps://t.co/I4DfmDtH0M
— E.W. Niedermeyer (@Tweetermeyer) June 14, 2023
And in other tweets you thought were fake but aren't...
Fox News chyron under split screen of Biden and Trump as Trump speaks live: "WANNABE DICTATOR SPEAKS AT THE WHITE HOUSE AFTER HAVING HIS POLITICAL RIVAL ARRESTED." pic.twitter.com/9eWZxhoXE4
— Natasha Korecki (@natashakorecki) June 14, 2023
🇺🇸 American Forces Network provides popular TV and radio programs to our troops and their families overseas. It is an invaluable service and brings back a bit of home to its viewers & listeners. I subscribed during 6+ years overseas with Stars & Stripes.
— D. Earl Stephens (@EarlOfEnough) June 14, 2023
However ...
<more> pic.twitter.com/EIitx7OUum
Asked for comment about the Fox News chyron describing Biden as a "wannabe dictator" who had "his political rival arrested," a spokesperson for the network told me: “The chyron was taken down immediately and was addressed.”https://t.co/MJfQQSqgGL
— Charlotte Klein (@charlottetklein) June 14, 2023
Before network cut away, @PressSec said "There are probably about 787 million things that I can say about this that was wrong" -- a subtle nod to the $787M the network paid to settle defamation suit from Dominion Voting Systems.
— Ed O'Keefe (@edokeefe) June 14, 2023
Elsewhere in the GOP.
New: The Georgia Republican Party has elected Bryan Pritchard to be its first vice-chair. He claims the 2020 election was “stolen” from Trump— while he is currently under criminal investigation for voting illegally 9 times while serving a felony sentence. https://t.co/czWIT5mENb pic.twitter.com/QiSzg8uwlB
— No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen (@NoLieWithBTC) June 12, 2023
This is a spectacularly misleading portrayal of what Republicans’ identity has really been. That half a century contains the aftermath of Watergate, Iran Contra, GHWB’s pardons, the reintroduction of torture by executive memo, Hastert, family separation, January 6th… https://t.co/leC455S6RQ pic.twitter.com/ZsVJIca6BF
— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) June 11, 2023
The problem for Trump right now is he is getting his legal advice from morons around him and TV lawyers on right-wing networks, so he is admitting to things because they are telling him that what he is admitting to is legal when it’s not.
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 10, 2023
Russia was behind the Canadian convoy attack on Ottawa. cc @CTVNews @CBCNews @globalnews @NDP @theJagmeetSingh wake up Mr. Singh
— @RGBAtlantica (@RGBAtlantica) June 12, 2023
Russia used state-funded propaganda outlet to whip up support for the ‘Freedom Convoy’ and undermine the Trudeau government https://t.co/0DMZBzMNXz
The case study is an extension & applied analysis of some of the tactics from this study, which found that Russia used apolitical topics to target liberals while pushing political content to conservatives as an insidious form of voter suppression. https://t.co/ELEu87etVv
— Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D (@RVAwonk) June 12, 2023
While on the topic of "traditonal fiscal conservatism," remember those IRS cuts the Republicans demanded?Referring to "a system of law and order that has been central to the party’s identity for half a century" is a little bit like accepting at face value the GOP's "traditonal fiscal conservatism." https://t.co/VaJZ08eFdm
— Lawrence Glickman (@LarryGlickman) June 12, 2023
For every additional $1 spent on auditing the wealthy, the @IRS can make $12. By @crampell https://t.co/LAOhJUsGcd
— Scott Galloway (@profgalloway) June 14, 2023
The good thing is that even though only 27 people might be watching Chris Christie’s CNN Town Hall right now, one of them is most assuredly Donald Trump.
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 13, 2023
I guess Alex Jones is back on Team Trump. pic.twitter.com/HDjxzfkrey
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 12, 2023
Oh boy. pic.twitter.com/GpDPI5Qg4Y
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 11, 2023
At least she didn't work in anything about the shape of the earth.
Kandiss Taylor led the GA State GOP Convention in an opening prayer: “Seek my face and turn from the wicked ways - stolen elections, (inaudible) our children’s sex organs, and flat out lying .. Help us to be christians first, and Republicans second. In Jesus name, amen.” pic.twitter.com/7YR880KcJ5
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 9, 2023
Watergate helped Nixon's stock with the far right.
“Had it not been for the witch hunt, if they’d left him alone, I’d probably be for Ron DeSantis. Since they’re persecuting my president, I swear allegiance to him.” - Darlene Doetzel, GOP retiree from Michigan. https://t.co/FRIwIXTz8h
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) June 14, 2023
Who would have thought that Ann Coulter would turn out to be the hitchhiker with the axe. *
Best Republican tweet of the day. Instant classic. Charlie doesn’t stand a chance. pic.twitter.com/sUvitsMwXt
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 9, 2023
Or that Hutchinson would be the sanest voice in the GOP.
Asa Hutchinson on GOP presidential candidates promising to pardon Donald Trump:
— Republican Accountability (@AccountableGOP) June 14, 2023
"It's wrong. It's unjustified. It's a bad precedent. They're politically pandering to get votes using the federal pardon power...I want our candidates to show more courage." pic.twitter.com/t5YvtuUyCi
The @GOP should clarify that there is no pledge to support a nominee if they are found guilty of espionage or a serious felony.
— Gov. Asa Hutchinson (@AsaHutchinson) June 8, 2023
Donald Trump is the target of an ongoing criminal investigation and he should step aside & put the good of the country above his candidacy.
So Arkansas people… what does this mean for the maps that @AsaHutchinson already said were troublesome because they diluted the strength of Black voters?
— Kerri Jackson Case (@kerrijack) June 8, 2023
Is #arkleg gonna have to roll back their protections of @ElectFrench? https://t.co/mi9rjIt8wC
As much as I hate to agree with this guy.
dingdingdingdingding https://t.co/JYNvfrvvI9 pic.twitter.com/2U8arOwQh4
— Paige Williams (@williams_paige) June 10, 2023
Worrying some analysts? pic.twitter.com/0hcFaKaGMu
— Karen Tumulty (@ktumulty) June 11, 2023
New York Times finds shoppers who have seen far more rapid increases in food prices than the rest of the country https://t.co/3upQQyBuRY
— Dean Baker (@DeanBaker13) June 14, 2023
"The same issue"
— New York Times Pitchbot (@DougJBalloon) June 9, 2023
If you're following the UFO story, you need to read this (there's even a DeSantis angle).
Most journalists don't cover the more esoteric aspects of the story, probably because they think it's too ridiculous.
— Mick West (@MickWest) June 11, 2023
But our current state of affairs is deeply rooted in baseless UFO mythology, and a large part of it goes directly back to Robert Bigelow and Skinwalker Ranch. https://t.co/zk9eJLTUoh
AI News
turns out AI models collapse quickly once the AI trains on data created by other AIs instead of original data by humans. three things follow from this:
— Terence Renaud (@terry_renaud) June 13, 2023
i) AIs must continue mining human content in order to function, thus can't substitute for human laborhttps://t.co/49Whb6mQty
This from the same company who predicted that the so-called Metaverse would be worth $5 trillion by 2030. https://t.co/3xNwEkRFpH
— Grady Booch (@Grady_Booch) June 15, 2023
AI’s supposed emergent capabilities have caused great concern widely shared by many in the tech industry. But according to a new paper, the presence of emergence only exists because of the programmers' choice of metric. https://t.co/ehxNT7lYbm
— Stanford HAI (@StanfordHAI) June 8, 2023
For 25 years I have been trying to get the AI community to face the fact that neural networks have a fundamental weakness.
— Gary Marcus (@GaryMarcus) June 12, 2023
They fail to generalize outside the distribution.
Here it is once again, 𝟮𝟱 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 on.
Has 𝘢𝘯𝘺 prediction in AI held true more consistently? https://t.co/8hAhU63pZl
One of our key sources of human data is no longer fully “human"!
— Manoel (@manoelribeiro) June 14, 2023
We estimate that 33-46% of crowd workers on MTurk used large language models (LLMs) in a text production task - which may increase as ChatGPT and the like become more popular and powerful.https://t.co/SJfKjDM6gX pic.twitter.com/lRHp4tpfZF
I want to revisit this, but I suspect the post I end up with will just be a longer version of what Tuffy said.
This is some of the stupidest shit I have ever read https://t.co/M2QeKGZZRN
— Sean Tuffy (@SMTuffy) June 11, 2023
This is one of the most unhinged things I've read in a long time. It reads like the author dropped acid and decided to pontificate about robots and Web3 all over a Bloomberg column. https://t.co/mWTzG9nzT7
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 10, 2023
Mkay, so how did that go?
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 14, 2023
It's almost like the Bitcoin doomerism industrial complex has a financial interest in stoking economic fears. https://t.co/gV7sKwMI0U
“Even if [blockchain] could be rescued from this pullulating hive of scams, hacks, and mendacity, and even if the nakedly reactionary politics could be set aside, the prospect of holding medical records on a transparent public ledger is not a good idea.”https://t.co/bFv4OCI2jE
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 11, 2023
And misc.
— tyler (@walletcheck) June 11, 2023
Federal auto safety regulators have been completely asleep when it comes to fatalities caused by misrepresented "full self driving" tech, yet had the time this week to help automakers undermine Massachusetts' promising and popular new right to repair law: https://t.co/fyMrSuHKxJ
— Karl Bode (@KarlBode) June 14, 2023
“some Data Science courses are little more than old-fashioned spreadsheets classes... [the Alg 2 vs DS] debacle … is a false choice. Algebra 2's core material — such as quadratic, exponential, and logarithmic relationships — is actually central to data science”. 1/ https://t.co/cjJJw0gZpO
— Jelani Nelson (@minilek) June 12, 2023
In 1992, 72% of 4th graders scored below proficient on the NAEP reading assessment. Today, those kids are 40-41 years old. They went on to earn 4-year college and advanced degrees at a rate surpassing all generations before them. My latest post: https://t.co/93KIUrxkVU
— Tom Loveless (@tomloveless99) June 12, 2023
You can read more about the targeting of Maus in @ThePlumLineGS piece out today:https://t.co/8h57qM95zK
— Florida Freedom to Read Project (@FLFreedomRead) June 14, 2023
The false scarcity we have in U.S. higher ed. benefits almost no one, except the grads of a tiny number of “elite” schools that are famous mostly for turning people away. (After all, no one ever talks about what will be *learned* there!)
— Jack Schneider (@Edu_Historian) June 11, 2023
Doesn’t need to be like this. https://t.co/OtylhgaUmb
I aspire to be on this man’s level pic.twitter.com/JvFGT3M6Uh
— Jake Blackfingers (@Blackfingers63) June 10, 2023
Fermat believed that he had discovered a formula that produced only primes.
— Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary) June 14, 2023
It was only after his death that Euler proved him wrong when he found factors for the "fifth Fermat prime":
2^(2^5) + 1 = 2³² + 1 = 4,294,967,297 = 641 × 6,700,417 pic.twitter.com/45RDekpzeF
How programs for the Apollo guidance computer were woven into memory pic.twitter.com/bzJqO9ng6C
— Fermat's Library (@fermatslibrary) June 8, 2023
This raccoon used tools to escape a garbage container. This sentient being's intelligence made the Mission Possible. 🧠 pic.twitter.com/KhmNpgPkyo
— Hakan Kapucu (@1hakankapucu) June 14, 2023
* Even the hitchhiker with the axe knows you shouldn't pick up the hitchhiker with the chainsaw.
Wednesday, June 14, 2023
Do I owe Ron DeSantis an apology?
[For the record, none of this applies to Michael Hiltzik, who pushed back on the standard narrative from day one.]
Andrew Gelman pushed back on my recent post about Ron DeSantis.
It seems to me that you're overstating your case. You say that DeSantis is "devoid of political talent." The fact that someone was nominated by a major party for governor of a competitive state, not to mention winning the election, that's a signal that he has _some_ political talent, no? I can buy the argument that DeSantis had some good luck, but "devoid of political talent"??
And, yes, Gelman does have a point.
For starters, absolute statements about people's character or abilities are almost always hyperbole to some degree. I probably should have been more careful with my language and I almost certainly should have added a couple of qualifiers.
First, when I talk about political talent, what I had in mind was the interpersonal side of the job, the ability to relate comfortably to people, move a crowd with the speech, show some charisma and stage presence. Obviously, there's a lot more to politics than that, and I should have been more clear.
Second, we are talking about the big leagues here. What constitutes practically no talent depends heavily on the standards of comparison. Just as the best performer in your community theater group would look hapless on the Broadway stage, Ron DeSantis shows few discernible gifts for the public facing side of politics compared to what we normally see on this level.
I don't want to spend too much time on examining Ron DeSantis's political career and what was behind it, been there done that, but it is worth taking a couple of minutes to look at 2018 and 2020. The margin a victory in the latter was substantial, but not particularly out of line with what we would expect given the makeup of the state and given that it has become ground central for the MAGA movement.
In the general election of 2018 he won by a fraction of a percent against a flawed Democratic candidate in a reddish purple state. Arguably, the one recent campaign where he overperformed was the 2018 primary and as much as one hates to concede a point to Donald Trump, the primary driver of that victory seems to be the decision to attach himself to the then president like a remora.
And if that categorization seems a bit unfair, watch the clip.
But all of this is straying from the main point. Politics is very much a field where it's better to be lucky than good and mediocre politicians catch favorable winds all the time. There's nothing very interesting about that part of the story, nor, at this point, is there anything particularly controversial about it. Here's how NYT columnist and reliable team player, Frank Bruni recently described watching DeSantis campaign. [Emphasis added.]
From the breathless media coverage of Ron DeSantis’s recent visits to Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, you could easily get the impression that:
Voting starts in approximately five minutes.
You’re really watching a new Netflix series about a body snatcher’s attempts to pantomime just enough humanity to amass power on Planet Earth.
The Florida governor’s entire candidacy hinges on his wife, Casey DeSantis.
Bruni is one of the guys you go to for a consensus opinion and he is definitely delivered here. Suddenly everyone seems to have discovered that DeSantis isn't very good at this whole politics thing. Here's another recent opinion piece by Bruni that makes the same point at greater length. And since we're talking about standard narratives, we have to quote Politico.
For some time now she’s been seen mostly and by many as an absolute superstar of a political spouse, a not so “secret weapon,” even something like his saving grace — an antidote for her sometimes awkward husband, social in a way that he is not, charismatic in a way that he is not, generally and seemingly at ease in the spotlight in a way that he so often and so evidently is not.
The article later goes on to discuss "the perception of a novice, faltering DeSantis that’s also visible in a slide in early primary polls," and suggest the Casey is actually the brains behind the campaign.
I'm not sure I'd assign any value to the Politico piece as journalism -- there is usually little to be learned from juicy off-the-record quotes presumably from sources with axes to grind -- but as a gauge of conventional wisdom it's hard to beat.
I read the Bruni piece on first wives and skimmed the Politico profile of Casey DeSantis and I'm reasonably sure I managed to cull everything of value. There's nothing there that justifies the time it would take to read them. The only interesting aspect here is the complete and completely unacknowledged reversal in the narrative. [note to Andrew Gelman: yes, someone out there probably did acknowledge it but I don't personally know of an exception and I really liked that sentence.]
For more than a year, the NYT, Politico and all the usual suspect, palpably delighted to have a leading Republican contender with Ivy League manners who didn't put ketchup on his steak, wrote article after article (some as late as this February) about how DeSantis was an unstoppable force. Now history has changed. We have always been at war with Eastasia and Ron DeSantis has always been bad at politics.
Tuesday, June 13, 2023
Who would have thought that deciding to base a pick-up on those cars from Blade Runner would lead to engineering issues...
Before we get into this, it should be noted that the market reacted (or more accurately, failed to react) to this by pumping the stock up 15%. The main driver of the surge appears to be a deal with GM and Ford to partner up on an expanded charging network. The bull case seems optimistic, particularly when you remember that many of these same people justified their sky-high valuations partly because Tesla had exclusive rights to its charging network.
From "A Leaked Tesla Report Shows the Cybertruck Had Basic Design Flaws" by Jeremy White Aarian Marshall
In May, the German newspaper Handelsblatt began reporting on the “Tesla Files”: thousands of internal documents provided to it by a whistleblower. Among those documents was an engineering report that might give some insight into why the vehicle has taken so long to come to market. The report, dated January 25, 2022, which WIRED has examined, shows that the preproduction “alpha” version of the Cybertruck was still struggling with some basic problems with its suspension, body sealing, noise levels, handling. and braking.
This is on top of the issues we already knew about, including...
Stainless steel is not easy to shape or mold, “Hence the look as if it's the output of a student in an in-class ‘Pop Quiz Number 1’ for the course ‘Intro to Car Design,’” says Raj Rajkumar, a professor of electrical and computer engineering at Carnegie Mellon University. The material requires specialized welding techniques, and it doesn’t flex easily, which could be dangerous in a crash, when force usually absorbed by a “crumple zone” could be transferred to cabin occupants instead, Rajkumar says.
Experts have noted that the odd shape of the vehicle, and particularly its sharp edges, will make it hard for the Cybertruck to meet pedestrian protection rules in Europe, and possibly in other markets. “These long, unbroken sheets of metal, with the sharp lines and a humongous windshield, make me think there’s going to be some real issues with potentially passing safety regulations, especially outside the US,” Gartner’s Ramsey says.
Addressing all of these manufacturing and engineering issues is likely to have substantially pushed up the price of the Cybertruck. Musk initially said the pickup’s price would start below $40,000. However, by 2021 those attractive price estimates had already been removed from Tesla’s website. Musk told shareholders last year that the vehicle’s specifications and pricing had changed since its introduction in 2019.
It was, however, this paragraph that particularly caught my eye.
“You need something new to reinvigorate the story. Whether that’s the humanoid robot, the Tesla Semi, the Cybertruck, Full Self-Driving, all of those are fair game in the eyes of the Tesla PR machine to keep the narrative going about continued growth,” says Jeffrey Osborne, a managing director and senior research analyst who covers Tesla at the financial services firm Cowen. “The logical [first] one of all of those is the Cybertruck.”
We've been making similar points for a while now. From 2017:
Finally, it is essential to remember that maintaining this “real-life Tony Stark” persona is tremendously valuable to Musk. In addition to the ego gratification (and we have every reason to believe that Musk has a huge ego), this persona is worth hundreds of millions of dollars to Musk. More than any other factor, Musk’s mystique and his ability to generate hype have pumped the valuation of Tesla to its current stratospheric levels. Bloomberg put his total compensation from Tesla at just under $100 million a year. When Musk gets tons of coverage for claiming he's about to develop telepathy chips for your brain or build a giant subterranean slot car race track under Los Angeles, he keeps that mystique going. Eventually groundless proposals and questionable-to-false boasts will wear away at his reputation, but unless the vast majority of journalists become less credulous and more professional in the very near future, that damage won’t come soon enough to prevent Musk from earning another billion dollars or so from the hype.
And from 2022:
Maintaining his current fortune requires Musk to keep these fantasies vivid in the minds of fans and investors. People have to believe that the Tesla model after next will be a flying exoskeleton that can blow shit up.
Here are the primary exoskeletons of the Musk empire as of 2022.
Full Self Driving (Beta but see below)
Cyber trucks (one handmade prototype after all these years. Accepting checks now. Production always "next year")
Optimus the friendly robot (literally a dancer in a robot suit)
Fitbits for your brain (mainly an excuse to torture small primates to death)
Super fast tunnelling machines (actually slower than the industry standard)
And the one of these things which is not like the other...
Starlink (doable technology, absurd business plan, horrifying externalities)
From a business standpoint, FSD is the most important and a big chunk in the stock plunge may be a reflection of how it's going.
Monday, June 12, 2023
"Melted, that would be enough to hypothetically drape almost 5 inches of water across the entire state of California."
It's been strange watching California's weather become such a big national story, partially because of the disconnect in tone The attitude out here has been appreciative than you might have guessed from the coverage. We got stunning levels of desperately needed precipitation with far less flooding than feared (though we still aren't entirely out of the woods) and little loss of life (mainly from swimmers and kayakers as far as I can tel.).
We've also gotten lucky with a cool Spring and early Summer that has spread the out the snowmelt, giving us a relatively steady flow of water that should continue well into the Summer, which is what we were hoping for.
From the LA Times June 8, 2023
That was UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain’s warning to Californians in late March, days before officials announced that this year’s Sierra snowpack contained historic volumes of water.
After years of drought and restrictions on water use, a series of atmospheric rivers between January and March brought epic amounts of rain and snow to the parched state. Heavy precipitation and below-average temperatures meant that snow accumulated for months high in the Sierra Nevada mountains along California's eastern border.
At its peak, the snowpack contained roughly the same amount of water as a full Lake Mead, the largest reservoir in the country.
The snowpack itself acts as a natural water storage system for California. When the region’s climate shifts from cold and wet to warm and dry, the snow gradually melts down from mountain rivers and creeks, filling reservoirs and, possibly, causing further flooding in the Central Valley’s once-dry Tulare Lake.
State water managers say the snowmelt has likely peaked for the season, so long as temperatures remain relatively cool. Another rise in the melt is expected next week.
Friday, June 9, 2023
Ten years ago at the blog
Thomas Friedman demonstrates the Roommate Effect
In the role of public intellectual, though, he's pretty much been a disaster (insert Peter Principle digression here), and he keeps coming up with passages that are simply too representative not to use as examples of bad punditry.
Which brings us to the roommate effect. The roommate effect is one of the reasons that people who go to elite schools to tend do well professionally.
Imagine a small town populated predominately by people in their early 20s with similar backgrounds who are new to the area. Young people are good at making friends and this scenario is almost perfect for forming new relationships. You have roommates and friends and friends of roommates and roommates of friends. You meet people in the cafeteria and in the coffee houses and in the bars. You find people with common interests in music or movies or art or sports. These people tend to form much of the base of a social network that you will rely on for the rest of your life.
This part of the experience is common to anyone who has gone to a traditional college. But in an elite school, there is a fairly good chance that a new friends will be someone who is or is connected to someone who is rich/famous/powerful. Playing in a college pool league with the son of a Fortune 500 CEO is likely to be a good career move.
And that brings us to this recent Friedman column (mercilessly but not inaccurately satirized by Timothy Burke). The column is basically an unpaid advertorial for the job placement firm HireArt. The weaknesses of the column are a subject for another post; Friedman's lack of understanding of education and the job market is genuinely profound. However he does manage, quite unintentionally, to make an important point about the way things actually work (emphasis added for those who like to skim):
One of the best ways to understand the changing labor market is to talk to the co-founders of HireArt (www.hireart.com): Eleonora Sharef, 27, a veteran of McKinsey; and Nick Sedlet, 28, a math whiz who left Goldman Sachs. Their start-up was designed to bridge the divide between job-seekers and job-creators.In case you're wondering, Eleonora Sharef got her bachelor's from Yale.
...
The way HireArt works, explained Sharef (who was my daughter’s college roommate), is that clients — from big companies, like Cisco, Safeway and Airbnb, to small family firms — come with a job description and then HireArt designs online written and video tests relevant for that job. Then HireArt culls through the results and offers up the most promising applicants to the company, which chooses among them.
Thursday, June 8, 2023
Thursday Tweets -- now less musky
We are overstocked with bad science this week (AI, UFOs, Flat Earthers and RFK jr.), I thought I'd skip any tweets about a certain individual, though I suspect some of his known associates may make an appearance.
The Onion is doing proper journalism again.https://t.co/AIddHD1sOw
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 2, 2023
I love this analogy.
The crypto bro understanding of money is to modern monetary economics what the phlogiston theory was to chemistry.
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 2, 2023
We all know what happens to Ponzi schemes when you starve them of cash inflows. 📉 pic.twitter.com/twucQgEZyS
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 2, 2023
Binance is a vertically integrated stack of conflicts of interest built around regulatory avoidance. pic.twitter.com/0BqAvJuGcM
— Stephen Diehl (@smdiehl) June 5, 2023
Lilita Infante, a former DOJ special agent who founded CAT Labs, told Fortune she had trouble raising money in the heady days before FTX’s collapse...when she approached VCs [she offered equity not tokens] “I didn’t have the pump-and-dump element, so they weren’t interested."
— Francine McKenna (@retheauditors) June 3, 2023
Did you know that rogue nations, oligarchs, and drug lords use crypto to launder billions in stolen funds, evade sanctions, and finance terrorism? It’s a big problem, but one we can fix.
— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) June 3, 2023
I have a bill that will close loopholes and apply common-sense rules to the industry. https://t.co/wcIqKFmPqi
While not quite the same tech Apple just unveiled, it is always worth remembering that VR has been the next big thing for longer than many of the people saying VR is the next big thing have been alive.
People laughed when the first iPod cost $399 w/a 5GB hard drive.
— Charles Gaba isn't paying for this account. (@charles_gaba) June 5, 2023
Obviously this will be a plaything for the wealthy for the first year or two, but they know that. Nothing like getting rich people to shell out $3.5K to beta test your new product for you. https://t.co/IzmJ5hfo3I
I give you the perfect AI hype story.
The whole "US Air Force tests an AI in simulation; it decides to kill its operator" was literally... a story. Something someone made up. There was no AI, no simulation.
— François Chollet (@fchollet) June 2, 2023
This is part of constant drumbeat of made up AI fear mongering.
In professional scientific terms, this is what we call a crock of shit.https://t.co/eI9bn9jK5Q
— Grady Booch (@Grady_Booch) June 5, 2023
Seguing from techbros to politics...
He can and will https://t.co/zrKLc2BKhz
— jack (@jack) June 4, 2023
So, the claimed in the clip above that she decided to skip the vote as a “protest” against the bill, but it sure looks like she missed it because she couldn’t make it on time. https://t.co/IWUkjk7w9M
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 4, 2023
If he can hold on to the spotlight, Christie could make this interesting and by the standards of today's GOP, he may be the leper with the most fingers.
“Jared Kushner and Ivanka Kushner walk out of the White House and months later get $2 billion from the Saudis… You think it’s because he’s some kind of investing genius? Or do you think it’s because he was sitting next to the POTUS for 4 years doing favors for the Saudis?” https://t.co/Jw4wgfrAwy
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) June 7, 2023
Worth mentioning that the morning after the NH debate in which Christie rightly portrayed Rubio as robotic, Rubio did an event in which he recited his stump speech word for word without even a flicker of recognition that he was making Christie's point yet again. https://t.co/blKrGnItOw
— Walter Shapiro (@MrWalterShapiro) June 7, 2023
If you had told me that Ann Coulter would make a persuasive argument for contributing to the Chris Christie campaign...
I swore I would never give another dollar to those people, but this might be worth a buck. pic.twitter.com/unVaqh6Glk
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 7, 2023
2/ state since they're critical to the states construction industry.
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) June 7, 2023
.@Timodc: "I’m not saying that I think DeSantis would be more extreme than Trump. I’m simply observing the objective fact that DeSantis’s explicit campaign message is a promise that he will be more extreme than Trump!" https://t.co/ThuhQxpyA9
— The Bulwark (@BulwarkOnline) June 5, 2023
Remember when Republicans didn't like Russian stooges?
After her recent defection to Russia, Tara Reade goes on Megyn Kelly’s show to praise Vladimir Putin for liberating the Ukrainian people from Nazis, and says the people in Ukraine are happy Russia invaded them. pic.twitter.com/kHENQFgj5h
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 3, 2023
In case you need a refresher, here’s a thread detailing the links between Marine Le Pen’s far-right party and the Kremlin. There’s also a link here to a Russian influence operation targeting US political actors. https://t.co/536HSYwrQu
— Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D (@RVAwonk) June 4, 2023
Marge denounces people who support aid to Ukraine as “bloodthirsty for murder” while parroting Putin’s talking points. pic.twitter.com/WeyvBZOmIp
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 6, 2023
And there it is. Finally when a Republican candidate for president gets pinned down on how to end the Russian invasion of Ukraine, he admits that his solution is to give Putin everything he wants. Now do Trump. pic.twitter.com/T5A4BIR3Fb
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 4, 2023
I did Nazi that coming...
In which Tucker Carlson says that the first Jewish president of Ukraine is "sweaty and rat like, a persecutor of Christians, a friend of Blackrock." https://t.co/oqCcSvM0I2
— Julia Ioffe (@juliaioffe) June 7, 2023
But with water (h/t to Seva Gunitsky)These are just a small subset of examples of Russia accusing the US of developing bioweapons to target certain ethnicities. It’s one of the most common Russian disinformation narratives in this area, and now Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr. are spreading it. pic.twitter.com/TwIdfHvYyD
— Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D (@RVAwonk) June 6, 2023
We're here to help you. pic.twitter.com/NtV2GM92pj
— ترجم له (@tarjimlo) June 6, 2023
Just so everyone remembers, the Miss Teen USA competition includes girls as young as 14.
Trump himself told a radio show:
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) June 5, 2023
“You know they’re standing there with no clothes. 'Is everybody OK?' And you see these incredible looking women. And so I sort of get away with things like that.” https://t.co/nfMHQIYUMH
Imagine talking the incredibly serious problem of millions of teen girls who attempt or contemplate suicide, with all that we know about many of the root causes, and trying to blame a tiny handful of trans people for it. This is the Republican Party. https://t.co/m3BOjnkJFN
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 5, 2023
Credibility...
DANA BASH: Wouldn't Republicans be better off with a candidate who is not facing multiple criminal investigations?
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 4, 2023
KEN BUCK: You know, it's interesting -- I think the multiple investigations and civil lawsuits that have been brought almost give Trump credibility pic.twitter.com/Ps5ruftuq1
New update of the Inflation/Recession Hysteria media coverage chart. In case you thought the balance might improve as inflation ebbs & the job market keeps hammering on all cylinders, well...no
— Mark Copelovitch (@mcopelov) June 8, 2023
wHy dOeS eVeRyOnE tHiNk ThE eCoNoMy iS TeRriBLe?
Verily, it's a total mystery 🧐🤷♂️ https://t.co/6BpYgGV3dv pic.twitter.com/HQ5oKiCAHf
I've been trying to sucker Andrew Gelman into doing a post on this. Read the thread to see why someone needs to write this up.
Sigh. So apparently The Atlantic is back with more Peter Turchin (https://t.co/eC8jaLrZoW) on how the USA is going to collapse.
— Bret Devereaux (@BretDevereaux) June 3, 2023
I just want to focus on one claim here and it's the one here, because the idea that you could do this over 10,000 years is not very good. 1/ pic.twitter.com/Bkr3Rinsef
More from Devereaux.
I recall a story from a sci-fi collection about a menial office worker who was convinced he should have been born in the days of knights. A stranger appears and tells him he was right. There's a flash and he finds himself in a stable holding a shovel.
Pardon me, but this crap is dumb as rocks.
— Bret Devereaux (@BretDevereaux) June 7, 2023
Buddy, you wouldn't have been leading legions, you'd have been a damn peasant, listening to the Roman aristocrat whose estate your farm borders lecture you on how you are the problem, as your family literally starves to death. 1/ https://t.co/USntIXYNJv
A visit to Aesthetica's page reveals exactly what you'd expect, implicit racism, explicit misogyny, and lots of bad fantasy art.The chance of you being a poor peasant farmer? About 9 in 10. The chances of leading a legion in battle? About 1 in 19,200.
— Bret Devereaux (@BretDevereaux) June 7, 2023
That's the thing about people imagining the past: they always imagine they'd be a noble.
You'd be a peasant.3/
Speaking of flakes.
The idea that just because you declare your candidacy for president makes you newsworthy is yet another flaw in mainstream journalism. https://t.co/Ww1ZxSOpiy
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) June 4, 2023
President of what? pic.twitter.com/AIMRlwIBiz
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 6, 2023
When friends tell me we wouldn't have these problems if we had a parliamentary system.
I can almost hear @APDiploWriter asking @PressSec "any comment on Netanyahu's new adviser who calls the president "Supreme Leader Biden" & believes Trump actually won in 2020? Oh-- he also thinks the Ukrainians wear Swastikas. Any comment?" https://t.co/m3RHtexB2y
— Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي💙 (@NTarnopolsky) June 4, 2023
Just because we're taking a break from you know who doesn't mean we can't check in with another member of the PayPal mafia.
International relations expert. Political strategist. San Francisco detective. Interviewer. And now economist too? Tech dudes have apparently decided to become the Swiss Army knives of our world. (Pro tip on the Larry Summers cosplaying, even though I would not deign to play an… pic.twitter.com/WFTEvZ1vYi
— Kara Swisher (@karaswisher) June 3, 2023
On February 15, less than a week before Russia invaded Ukraine, Mearsheimer said that Putin had "no intention to invade." That was the opposite of a "highly accurate" prediction. https://t.co/EV6XCFRcN7
— James Surowiecki (@JamesSurowiecki) June 5, 2023
The numbers have some volatility and are never going to line up perfectly, especially on a month-to-month basis, but last month's results were consistent with each other. The big drop in the household survey was from the self-employed, which don't show up in payrolls.
— Joey Politano 🏳️🌈 (@JosephPolitano) June 3, 2023
The confident, cocky statement of something that is obviously stupid if you have even a basic layman’s knowledge of listening to economic news or govt statistics. https://t.co/X9y1FQctEJ
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) June 4, 2023
Also any famous person goes to the hospital. (see what they're saying about Jamie Foxx)
The criteria had already been updated, and now, to prove a vaccine-relayed death, they must meet all of the following criteria:
— Jonathan Laxton MD, FRCPC (@dr_jon_l) June 2, 2023
1) The patient appears dead
Sn/Sp claims are unchanged.
I promised you UFOs.
This is a long thread (it started in 2020) but you should read the whole thing).
Here's a "newsnation" interview with the ex-government source behind this. Good stuff starting at 3:30
— Antonio Regalado (@antonioregalado) June 6, 2023
Importantly, note construction of the claim. Guy hasnt seen the UFOs. But he talked to unnamed people who know about them.
Hearsay.
Credibility=0 https://t.co/racLq2nzYr
Regarding that ufo story: GMAFB
— Michael Hiltzik (@hiltzikm) June 7, 2023
Come for the flat-earth content. Stay for the masterclass in how not to defend yourself from mockery.
These are the people that we want to decide on education for our children?
— Derek Friday (@DerekFriday) May 31, 2023
Kandiss Taylor, who ran for governor in 2022 and recently became a Georgia GOP district chair, is a flat earther: "Everywhere there's globes ... and that's what they do to brainwash." pic.twitter.com/Dr1ns2ZzNV
In a case of bringing satiric coal to Newcastle, an Atlanta comic weighs in.
Kandiss Taylor explaining how the Earth is flat pic.twitter.com/CByWpLX0ZU
— blaire erskine (@blaireerskine) May 25, 2023
Fmr. GA Gov candidate and current GOP official Kandiss Taylor is upset about the Blaire Erskine skit making fun of her as a flat-earther. She explains her actual position, which has something to do with globes being NASA propaganda. I think. pic.twitter.com/gtqElqf6Dh
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) June 5, 2023
In case you thought RFK jr was was a one trick pony.
Hell yes, let's do some spurious correlations
— Christopher Ingraham🦗 (@_cingraham) June 6, 2023
"Prior to the introduction of Ace of Base, we had almost none of these events in our country."
"Prior to the introduction of the Power Glove, we had almost none of these events in our country."
"Prior to the introduction of Barney and https://t.co/3Bc9P1JEmK
I do give this guy credit for leaving the tweet up.
Two years before the movie came out? Are you a Terminator?
— Phillip McGuire (@PhillipCMcGuire) June 1, 2023
LOL pic.twitter.com/Tomn9LVLEZ
— mark from Newark (@mardoumur) June 1, 2023
Thunderbird going upscale is a development I did not (and did not wish to) see coming.
Had to look them up. Very legit marketing. We won’t judge you. Just get sauced. pic.twitter.com/5Ioz5NNPIa
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) June 7, 2023
Did the Canadian wildfires start in a Chinese lab? This podcaster thinks so.
— New York Times Pitchbot (@DougJBalloon) June 7, 2023
The buyer has been identified as Cosmo Kramer, 129 West 81st Street, Apt 5C, NY, NY. https://t.co/iXcQNAuLPb
— Don Van Natta Jr. (@DVNJr) June 2, 2023
Wednesday, June 7, 2023
The sad part is he's still better at his job than Chapek was
Living within walking distance of the Warner Brothers lot, I see an uncountable number of For Your Consideration billboards and I hear a lot about the strike.
Overall, average pay for Hollywood’s top execs climbed to $28 million in 2021, up 53% from 2018 (and roughly 108 times the average writer’s pay) according to the analysis, which uses compensation data from the research firm Equilar and includes stock options, base salaries, bonuses and other perks.
Meanwhile, average pay for Hollywood writers has remained virtually flat at about $260,000 as 2021, the Times reports. Median screenwriter pay has dropped 14% when adjusted for inflation over the last five years, according to statistics from the Writers Guild of America, the TV and film writers’ union with 11,500 members.
The top 10 highest-paid Hollywood executives in the last 5 years includes:
- David Zaslav, Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.: $498,915,318
- Ari Emanuel, Endeavor Group Holdings Inc.: $346,935,367
- Reed Hastings, Netflix: $209,780,532
- Bob Iger, Walt Disney Co.: $195,092,460
- Ted Sarandos, Netflix: $192,171,581
- Rupert Murdoch, Fox Corp.: $174,929,867
- Lachlan Murdoch, Fox Corp.: $171,359,374
- Brian Roberts, Comcast Corp.: $170,158,088
- Joseph Ianniello, Paramount Global: $152,793,125
- Patrick Whitesell, Endeavor Group Holdings Inc.: $143,584,597
Let's take a look at Zaslaz. To be fair, most of that half billion came from before the merger, when he was CEO of Discovery and had a very good run pumping out cheap and profitable reality shows. It's difficult to argue anyone deserves that kind of compensation, but at least he was competent... was competent.
Since the merger, the studio is arguably floundering worse than it was before (and that's saying something). He rebranded the streaming service with the painfully generic name Max. He put James Gunn in charge of the superhero line apparently without seeing either Suicide Squad or Peacemaker. (Gunn is a brilliant filmmaker and Guardians shows he can make an effort to play by the studio rules but there's a lot of Troma in his DNA. Seriously, watch his deeply transgressive DC work or, better yet, Tromeo and Juliet, and ask yourself, is this really the guy you want to give the car keys to?)
Perhaps the worst part of Zaslav's tenure has been the recent turmoil at CNN. Particularly since the Trump town hall, ratings are down, credibility is shot, and the talent is edging toward open revolt.
And then there's this.
Tuesday, June 6, 2023
The term of the day is "Reverse Centaur"
From Cory Doctorow:
In AI circles, a “centaur” describes a certain kind of machine/human collaboration, in which “decision-support” systems (which the field loves to call “AI”s) are paired with human beings for results that draw upon the strengths of each, such as when a human chess master and a chess-playing computer program collaborate to smash their competition.
...
By contrast, an Amazon driver is a reverse-centaur. The AI is in charge, and the human is the junior partner. The AI is the head, telling the body what to do. The driver is the body — the slow-witted, ambulatory meat that is puppeteered by the AI master.
Doctorow provides further details in this post (complete with the wonderful phrase "digital phrenology").
Amazon DSP vans have Netradyne cameras inside and out, including one that is always trained on drivers' faces, performing digital phrenology on them, scoring them based on junk-science microexpression detection and other imaginary metrics.
Monday, June 5, 2023
Over the next year and (almost) and half, you're going to hear a lot of historical "rules" from 538, the Upshot, etc. Here's a counter example to keep in mind when they start to sound persuasive.
The pattern was clearer than almost any of the rules that were dredged up by data journalists in the past couple of elections to support this or that prediction. This is a forty year run with plenty of examples of candidates with and without the trait and 100% accuracy.
Then it just stopped. The lesson here is that even with the most convincing historical precedent based argument, you shouldn't assume the future should look like the past.
Monday, November 18, 2019
Fun with Political Trivia
This picks up on a recent thread (telling which one might be too much of a clue). The ones and zeros represent a trait of Democratic candidates from 1964 to 2004. Take a look and think about it for a moment. Here's a hint, the trait is something associated with each man well before he ran for president.
Johnson 1
Humphrey 0
McGovern 0
Carter 1
Mondale 0
Dukakis 0
Clinton 1
Gore 1
Kerry 0
As you might have guessed, the relationship between this trait and the popular vote didn't hold in the previous or following elections. The trait is not at all obscure. It was well known at the time and figured prominently into their political personas, This is not a trick question.
Friday, June 2, 2023
Ten years ago at the blog -- I may owe Burger King an Apology
Not because BK has notably upped their game, but they don't seem to have had any big screw-ups lately and they certainly haven't done anything as mind-numbingly stupid as firing the firm largely responsible for turning around probably the most damaged brands in the industry.
AdWeek from 2015:
Instead, the fast food chain stopped working with Secret Weapon last month. The client is now “working to…determine our formal relationship” with L.A.’s David&Goliath, which joined its creative roster early this year and created its “Legendary” ad for the Super Bowl. The decision to switch agencies also follows Jack in the Box’s promotion of Keith Guilbault to the chief marketing officer role in late 2013.
(I looked up "Legendary" on YouTube. I believe I'd seen it before, but I'd almost completely forgotten it.)
Friday, May 31, 2013
Burger King vs. Jack in the Box -- More thoughts on corporate competence
While on the subject of corporate competence, this recent story seems like a good excuse to do a post on on one of the most consistently incompetent companies on the business landscape.
One of the most intriguing and for those inclined toward schadenfreude entertaining things about Burger King is the way that for about the past thirty years, with a variety of managers and owners, the company has been so bad at so many things.
Their PR is often clumsy (you generally want to avoid headlines about you copying your competitor's products).
Their relationship with their franchisees is terrible.
Relations became so antagonistic that last year the [franchisees'] association took the extraordinary step of filing two class-action lawsuits challenging management decisions. One suit, filed in U.S. district court in San Diego, came after the company sought to divert to national advertising millions of rebate dollars that franchisees get from Coca-Cola Co. and Dr. Pepper Snapple Group Inc. for selling their beverages. That suit was dropped after the company agreed to augment its ad budget by other means.The dealings with the franchisees demonstrates another reason why BK schadenfreude is so satisfying. The incompetence often comes mixed with a curious nastiness.
The other association suit opposed a company mandate that franchisees sell a double cheeseburger for $1. That suit, still pending in federal district court in Miami, contends that management can only suggest prices franchisees charge. Franchisees had voted down the proposed sandwich, arguing they would lose money at $1, but Burger King introduced it anyway. In court papers, the company argued that an appeals-court ruling in another suit involving pricing gave it the right to make the move. Since the filing, Burger King has taken the double cheeseburger off its $1 Value Menu, and raised its suggested price, but announced plans to add more items to that menu.
Burger King also faces a suit brought by three franchisees—two are in the company's Hall of Fame for exceptional franchisees—challenging a mandate that they keep their restaurants open late at night. It "costs franchisees $100 an hour, but they gross only $25 to $30 an hour," says Robert Zarco, a Miami attorney representing the plaintiffs. The two sides are awaiting a hearing on the company's motion to dismiss that litigation, which was filed in Dade County Circuit Court in Florida in December 2008.
Here's Eric Schlosser, author of Fast Food Nation, writing for the New York Times:
In 2005, Florida tomato pickers gained their first significant pay raise since the late 1970s when Taco Bell ended a consumer boycott by agreeing to pay an extra penny per pound for its tomatoes, with the extra cent going directly to the farm workers. Last April, McDonald’s agreed to a similar arrangement, increasing the wages of its tomato pickers to about 77 cents per bucket. But Burger King, whose headquarters are in Florida, has adamantly refused to pay the extra penny — and its refusal has encouraged tomato growers to cancel the deals already struck with Taco Bell and McDonald’s.And then there are the ad campaigns. You would be hard pressed to find a comparable company with a worse run of advertising. You have to go back to the Seventies and early Eighties to find effective BK commercials. Since then a variety of agencies have produced a steady stream of mediocre ads ranging from forgettable to off-putting (try Googling "creepy Burger King").
...
Telling Burger King to pay an extra penny for tomatoes and provide a decent wage to migrant workers would hardly bankrupt the company. Indeed, it would cost Burger King only $250,000 a year. At Goldman Sachs, that sort of money shouldn’t be too hard to find. In 2006, the bonuses of the top 12 Goldman Sachs executives exceeded $200 million — more than twice as much money as all of the roughly 10,000 tomato pickers in southern Florida earned that year. Now Mr. Blankfein should find a way to share some of his company’s good fortune with the workers at the bottom of the food chain.
Actually, there is at least one BK campaign that people in the advertising industry are still talking about, but not in a good way. In response to the proto-viral success of Joe Sedelmaier's "Where the Beef" ads, BK engaged J Walter Thompson (who were and are kind of a big deal) to set up a massive nation wide campaign of ads and cash prizes for people who spotted "Herb."
Here's Wikipedia's description of the aftermath:
The promotion met with some positive reviews. Time called it "clever", and a columnist for the Chicago Tribune stated that Herb was "one of the most famous men in America". Ultimately, however, the Herb promotion has been described as a flop. The advertising campaign lasted three months before it was discontinued. One Burger King franchise owner stated that the problem was that "there was absolutely no relevant message". Although some initial results were positive, the mystique was lost after Herb's appearance was revealed during the Super Bowl. Burger King's profits fell 40% in 1986. As a result of the poorly-received campaign, Burger King dropped J. Walter Thompson from their future advertising. The US$200 million account was given to N. W. Ayer.Recently, an MSNBC article listed this as the second worst Superbowl ad of all time.
Burger King has little competition for worst managed large fast food company and absolutely for worst marketed. McDonald's, Wendy's, Subway, Hardee's/Carl's Jr, and the Yum brands have all had better campaigns, but my vote for best (at least for the past 18 years) is the smart and innovative regional chain Jack-in-the-Box.
The commercials come from the aptly named ad agency, Secret Weapon which has an interesting policy.
We will never take on more than three clients at a time. This means our clients get hands-on attention from the principals of the agency. You may have been promised this before by other agencies, but it’s tough to give 25% of your time to 18 different accounts.The ads are sharp and funny (sometimes too sharp -- certain competitors were decidedly unamused by an ad for a sirloin burger that pointed at a diagram of beef cuts and asked "where's the angus?"). More importantly, they're good ads; they focus on the product.
Our three client rule means you get to work with the people you meet in the pitch. And since we rarely pitch we’re able to keep our attention on existing clients, not potential ones. As it should be.
Check out Jack's expressions on this one.
The following comment appeared on the site where I found the following mini sirloin burgers ad. Could say something about the cultural impact of advertising but I'll just leave you with the image.
"Shit you not, guard controlled TV for the cell block, most of 128 inmates singing along to this. Almost magical except for the whole incarceration thing."
And in the did-they-just-say-that-? category.