One
of the reasons the impeachment is such a dilemma for the GOP is that it
requires officials to take a position that will piss off either a
majority of the country or a key block of the Republican base that is
personally loyal not to the party but to Trump. If the first group
really does exceed 70% and the second stays above some threshold (let's
call it 15%), the situation can become almost impossible to navigate.51 percent of Americans in New ABC/Ipsos poll want Trump impeached and removed from office.
57 percent of Americans want him impeached.
70 percent believe he did something wrong. https://t.co/tSvzM1AR0F
— Daniel W. Drezner (@dandrezner) November 18, 2019
One of the main implications of this is that the saner conservatives out there have done these calculations and that's why they are desperately looking for a way out. The corresponding implication on the other side of the aisle is that, regardless of how the vote goes, it's in the Democrats' best interest to not only have it, but to make it as public and binding as possible.
I think I'm pretty much in line with Josh Marshall on this (which is generally a good place to be).
The Democrats’ job is to lay out the evidence in a public setting and get elected Republicans to sign on the dotted line that this is presidential behavior they accept and applaud. That won’t be difficult. They have one last chance to change their answer. Democrats real job is to clarify and publicize that that is their answer.
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