Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nate Silver. Show all posts
Monday, February 28, 2011

This should literally be a textbook example of how phrasing and context affect polling

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Talking Points Memo discusses how two polls given in the same week can get starkly different results : Last week, a Gallup poll showed tha...
Monday, February 14, 2011

"The Economics of Blogging and The Huffington Post"

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After the election season, my regular visits to FiveThirtyEight tapered off then simply came to a stop. That might have been a mistake on m...
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Sunday, November 7, 2010

Bad polls, good polls, better polls

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You might have expected Nate Silver to sleep through the rest of the week after the elections, but the Red Bull must flow freely at 538. Any...
Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Nervous Nate -- why timidity at FiveThirtyEight is a sign of professionalism

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I've been working on an article on educational statistics. One of the major themes is the way statisticians should handle research when ...
Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Nate Silver tries to disabuse political reporters of another favorite myth

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In today's 538, Nate Silver takes down the myth that polls tend to show momentum. He left out some details that OE readers might be curi...
Monday, May 17, 2010

Candidate Rorschach will not be running

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Nate Silver has an excellent post that implicitly makes a point that slips past most analysts: in a campaign where an incumbent faces an un...
Monday, March 1, 2010

Nate SIlver debunks another polling myth

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Here 's the old chestnut (from Robert Moran): In a two way race, political professionals don't even bother to look at the spread bet...