Thursday, May 23, 2019

What if venture capital is keeping a viable ridesharing industry from emerging

This is not a hot take. I'm absolutely serious about this one.

Admittedly, all that venture capital flowing into Uber and Lyft put ridesharing services on the road a little sooner, but probably not as much as most people would assume. Once the two big enabling technologies (smart phones and GPS) were in place, the rest was fairly straightforward. There is little question that other companies would have stepped in to respond to the demand if there had never been a Lyft or an Uber.

We caught a glimpse of a world without the big two a few years ago when this happened:
Ride Austin was created by local tech leaders in 2016, after Uber and Lyft stopped operating in the city due to a failed referendum to overturn Austin City Council regulations. According to its website, it’s the only nonprofit ride-hailing company in the world, pays drivers more than other companies, and donates to local charities (as well as have a system for allowing drivers to do so with a portion of fares).
 As best I can tell from these accounts, Ride Austin is a better company than either Lyft or Uber in terms of management, corporate citizenship and having a business plan that consists of more than "burn large piles of money until a miracle happens." In a functioning market, it and companies modeled after it should taking over, Instead it's struggling to survive because Lyft and Uber are doing everything they can to kill it.

We've be seeing for a while an unmooring of business narratives from established business principles. We've discussed it in terms of hype and magical heuristics, but perhaps the most important element is the stunning volume of venture capital controlled by appallingly arrogant people who frequently aren't all that smart. Now we're seeing the flow of dumb money choking out actual innovation.

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