West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)

Comments, observations and thoughts from two bloggers on applied statistics, higher education and epidemiology. Joseph is an associate professor. Mark is a professional statistician and former math teacher.

Thursday, April 30, 2026

I apologize for calling AI a bubble. It is actually a bouncy house, and right now everybody's listening to the blowers.

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Last Monday, Allison Morrow wrote the following Buckle on up: Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and Meta all report earnings on Wednesday — tha...
Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Anthropic's Mythos: One moderate step forward for white-hat hacking; one giant leap forward for journalists' credulity

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[I kid, of course. That particular shark was jumped ages ago.]  You should probably approach any story of large language models displaying i...
Tuesday, April 28, 2026

More context from Devereaux

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Not to put too fine a point on it (and avoiding the question of where regular authoritarianism ends and fascism begins), this highly recomme...
1 comment:
Monday, April 27, 2026

Not one of Boyle's funny ones, but we do get the unlikely pairing of Zippy Duvall and (not the) Pablo Escobar.

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While I don't want to downplay the importance of the rest of the video—you should listen to the whole thing—I did want to single out thi...
Friday, April 24, 2026

I'm sure someone at the studio at some point described this project as Colossus meets Rosemary's Baby

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I haven't seen Demon Seed in who knows how many years. I remembered it being well done, and the ending certainly stuck with me, but unt...
Thursday, April 23, 2026

Ten years ago at the blog when we still considered Watergate the pinnacle of political corruption

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There was a comment on the YouTube page that I meant to add to this post but apparently never got around to.   Kirsch was a grad student whe...
Wednesday, April 22, 2026

More thoughts on predictive markets

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From Patrick Boyle's recent video overview of prediction markets. If you are a retail trader who’s tired of losing money to hedge fund ...
Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Patrick Boyle explains why it's illegal to bet on the price of onions but it's OK to bet on the Dodgers' double header

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One of the best overviews I've seen of the strange world of prediction markets, told with Boyle characteristic dry wit. I've includ...
Monday, April 20, 2026

We need to talk about this clip.

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Yes, these videos are fun, and yes, the engineering behind these machines is impressive. That said, this and all those other gee-whiz, look-...
Friday, April 17, 2026

ET reads the NYT

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Yes, I am going to keep bringing that up. XKCD 2953: Alien Theories  (Now that Gelman has poked this bear again , we'll have a few more...
Thursday, April 16, 2026

Still looks a little bubbly to me.

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In today's New Yorker newsletter (not particularly recommended), Kyle Chayka wrote: A.I. has lately turned a corner; there are fewer con...
Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Sixteen years ago at the blog: That brief hopeful time when we thought we'd seen the last of the Star Wars and Indiana Jones sequels

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With Toy Story 5 about to come out, I thought it would be a good time to revisit this one.  Monday, June 21, 2010 ...
Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Smart people commenting on important things

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We're watching a bunch of guys convinced that everyone who had their jobs before them were just stupid slowly discovering - without l...
Monday, April 13, 2026

We can all agree: spaceflight is cool.

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  It’s fun to dream about being an astronaut. Missions like the Artemis program are good things. And we can all be happy about the successfu...
1 comment:
Friday, April 10, 2026

You thought I was joking about the Iran War going so badly that Trump would start bringing up Epstein as a distraction.

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I’ve been putting off an Epstein thread, not out of concerns over the subject matter or possible reception, but because most of the analysis...
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