Friday, March 6, 2026

Bit of a spoiler with the Silicon Valley clip, but it's a great gag

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While I am by no means a fan of focus groups, I'm probably not quite as negative on the subject as most of the readers of this blog, for...
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Thursday, March 5, 2026

And to think of all the fun we made of Rumsfeld for known unknowns -- mostly trivial items for the penultimatepost of the week

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Marco Rubio: "We went proactively in a defensive way" [image or embed] — Aaron Rupar ( @atrupar.com ) March 2, 2026 at 2:34 PM B...
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Wednesday, March 4, 2026

If nothing else, the image of Wall Street investors as extras from Oliver! was worth the price of admission -- updated

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Following up on yesterday's post , here's Allison Morrow's actually informed take: After more or less shrugging at the conflict...
Tuesday, March 3, 2026

We just point out the patterns; we don't try to explain them.

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Once again, we’ve seen the two defining rules of markets in 2025 and 2026 (so far): 1. There is no jump scare so trivial and obviously absur...
Monday, March 2, 2026

The prediction market thread got very relevant very quickly.

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Whether you're talking about the temptation to rig a traffic light or find a way to effectively sell government secrets, the potential t...
Friday, February 27, 2026

The very fact that this article calls to mind a Roald Dahl short story is probably a red flag

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 Victor Tangermann writing for Futurism.   New Platform Lets You Gamble on CCTV Footage Thanks to the rise of sports betting and prediction ...
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Thursday, February 26, 2026

Good analogy, though under the circumstances, I'm a bit surprised he didn't go with Zelig.

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Ed Niedermeyer, the journalist who wrote what is still the definitive book on Tesla specifically and on any Musk enterprise in general, an...
Wednesday, February 25, 2026

More takes on Citrini (I'm not the only one using scare quotes around "report")

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 Yesterday we discussed this: From CNN : Fears of AI disruption continue to weigh on markets. Citrini Research on Sunda...
Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Traders who have ignored threats to Fed independence, erratic trade policy, and the deportation of much of the American labor force just panicked over a citation-free piece of fan fiction.

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   From CNN : Fears of AI disruption continue to weigh on markets. Citrini Research on Sunday published a report on Su...
Monday, February 23, 2026

A Tale of Two Logics (This is what you get when an old math and English teacher weighs in)

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In his classic 1946 short story A Logic Named Joe , Murray Leinster told how, through some tiny malfunction in the manufacturing process, a ...
Friday, February 20, 2026

What Jamie Dimon meant when he talked about "the next DOJ"

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 Back in November, Dimon pointed out that some of his peers weren't thinking about how things like suspicious looking contributions were...
Thursday, February 19, 2026

Aerodromes and LLMs

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 What happens when, faced with a breakthrough in a transformative technology, we decide to pour all of our imaginable resources into the fro...
Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Imagine telling people twenty years ago that two of the most important stories in political media would revolve around late night network talk shows.

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  It was already a dinosaur of a genre in 2006, largely trapped in amber since the late sixties. It had even reached the deconstruction phas...
Tuesday, February 17, 2026

We haven't complained about television for a while

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 One of the biggest stories that has received next to no coverage over the past 10 years has been how television—which for well over half a ...
Monday, February 16, 2026

The harder-problem fallacy (which is about to become relevant again)

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If you’re trying to distinguish between different students’ levels of understanding—particularly in situations where knowledge can possibly ...
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