Thursday, February 16, 2023

If a TV show runs in the city and nobody sees it...

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When I came across this article from New York Magazine (technically the Cut , but you know what I mean) on on Fleishman Is in Trouble , I ...
Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Whatever happened to the Washington Post's "The Truthteller"? -- repost

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 It debuted ten years ago to a great deal of hype (much of which has a definite 2023 feel), then, as far as I can tell, faded quietly away. ...
1 comment:
Tuesday, February 14, 2023

Supplemental material for Prof. Narita's class

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In case you aren't familiar with the professor's research (from NYT via Gelman ):      A Yale Professor Suggested Mass Suicide for O...
1 comment:
Monday, February 13, 2023

Dems in Disarray

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Remember all of the "Trump is fading away" articles a while back? These think pieces combined wishful analytics with a curious be...
Friday, February 10, 2023

Checking in with Elon

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If you were writing a satirical roman à clef of the Twitter take-over, you'd throw this scene out for being to on the nose.  Zoë Schiffe...
Thursday, February 9, 2023

“And it created this confidence that you could always rely on just knowing ... the El Niño/La Niña phase, and that would be able to give you a very accurate prediction for precipitation, especially for California. And that is just not scientifically true.”

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A timely example of how the nuances in predictive models have a way of getting lost. Rong-Gong Lin II writing for the LA Times . For decade...
Wednesday, February 8, 2023

Twelve years ago at the blog --How to lie with statistics -- rare cinema history edition

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  Friday, February 18, 2011 From David Leonhardt (via DeLong): When I read that John Boehner, the speaker ...
Tuesday, February 7, 2023

In the original armor, the slide rule came in one of those nerdy belt holsters

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 [Derek Flint's spy watch had a slide rule hidden in the inside of the band but we're getting off topic.]   ["Does this armor m...
Monday, February 6, 2023

Math time

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This is Joseph. One of the great lessons of the Brexit referendum is that it makes sense to require a large majority to do a big change via ...
Friday, February 3, 2023

The College Board caving in to DeSantis and his thugs was shamefully craven, but on the bright side, it did give me an excuse to revisit one of my favorite post titles

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 Our old friend David Coleman is back in the news.  From Talking Points Memo : College Board Strips Down African American Studies Course Aft...
Thursday, February 2, 2023

Clash of the Oracles

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Joseph's recent post reminded of Thiel's comments about another well known oracle. From Caleb Ecarma writing for Vanity Fair .  It ...
Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Speaking of oracles

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This is Joseph Marginal Revolution pointed me to this quote by Peter Thiel: [Thiel] has described British people’s affection for the state-...
Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Supply side reforms

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This is Joseph. Following up on Jan 27th's post about resilience, I want to really engage why supply side reforms are tricky. The Canad...
Monday, January 30, 2023

Deferred Thursday Tweets -- TBH, I have trouble arguing against "unvaccinated sperm is the next Bitcoin"

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I know this isn't new information, but take a minute and let the following sink in: 1. While many in the mainstream press (particularl...
Friday, January 27, 2023

Resilience

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 This is Joseph I wanted to highlight this recent article by Chris Dillow . He doesn't use quite the examples that I would but it is ver...