Monday, May 13, 2024

Would manipulating stocks by spreading conspiracy theories about stock manipulation be considered meta-fraud?

Even by meme stock standards, Trump Media is an insane story.

For starters, as James Surowiecki points out "His company has $4 million in revenue, and it lost $58 million last yr, and it was valued at $9 billion, making it arguably the most overvalued company in history."

Then there was the disintegration of the company's auditor, the kind of revelation that would normally make people reexamine a high-flying stock, but as the inimitable Matt Levine points out, with Trump Media this sort of thing doesn't matter. 

(From his newsletter)

 

The funniest job in public accounting is now open:

The Securities and Exchange Commission accused the auditor of Donald Trump’s social-media company of massive fraud affecting hundreds of companies and more than 1,500 regulatory filings.

BF Borgers CPA PC and its founder, Benjamin Borgers, will be permanently suspended from practicing and appearing as accountants before the SEC, and will pay a total of $14 million in fines to settle the probe, the SEC said in a Friday release.

“Ben Borgers and his audit firm, BF Borgers, were responsible for one of the largest wholesale failures by gatekeepers in our financial markets,” Gurbir Grewal, the SEC’s enforcement chief, said in a statement. “Borgers and his firm completely abandoned that role, but thanks to the painstaking work of the SEC staff, Borgers and his sham audit mill have been permanently shut down.” …

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. became a public company in March. Trump Media “looks forward to working with new auditing partners in accordance with today’s SEC order,” a representative for the company said.

I’m kidding, the job isn’t actually open; last week Trump Media “engaged Semple, Marchal & Cooper, LLP (‘SMC’) as BF Borgers’ replacement.” Here is the SEC’s press release; here is the order shutting down Borgers; here is the SEC staff statement on what to do if you are a pubic company that used Borgers and now needs to find a different auditor. [2]

I have said before that, since Trump Media’s financial statements don’t matter — to its shareholders, to its managers, to its stock price, to its value proposition for its promoters — it doesn’t especially matter that Trump Media used a “sham audit mill.” Still it’s not, you know, good. When it turns out that a company has a fake auditor, that raises some questions. I guess not that many questions. When Trump Media went public, I would not have guessed that it employed a fake auditor, because I was not aware that that was a thing. But if someone’s going to employ a fake auditor, why not Trump Media.

But the fun doesn't stop there. One of the safety valves that keep the upward pressure from getting too high on these stocks is shorting. Grifters trying to inflate stock bubbles hate short sellers. The classic case being Elon Musk who has demonized them to the point of antichrist status, but Trump Media seems to have hit upon a new innovation in that direction.

Trump Media is making a point of telling its shareholders how to prevent their stock from being loaned to short sellers — who bet the price of the shares will drop.

The short-selling-prevention tips posted Wednesday on Trump Media’s website come as its DJT stock has fallen sharply in price since it began being public trading on March 26 — and as short sellers have taken a keen interest in the owner of the Truth Social app despite relatively high fees to finance such trades.

“It certainly shows concern” about short selling of Trump Media stock, said Kevin Murphy, a business professor at the University of Southern California who is an expert on executive compensation.

“I haven’t seen it before,” Murphy said when asked how common it is for companies to give shareholders instructions on how to thwart short sellers.

“Managers who ... think the stock is undervalued aren’t going to be overly concerned about short sellers,” he said.

 

It's possible that the anti-shorting measures have had an impact. The stock has gained back most of the ground it lost in the first half of April.

 

Then again, that might have more to do with this.


From CNBC:

Shares of Trump Media shot up more than 9% on Wednesday, hours after the company revealed it was urging House Republican committee leaders to investigate possible “unlawful manipulation” of its stock.

The stock boost also came one day after a deadline passed for former President Donald Trump, the company’s majority owner, to become eligible for an additional 36 million “earnout” shares. That stake was worth more than $1.3 billion as of the share price at 3:25 p.m. ET.

It was unclear what spurred the sudden rise of Trump Media, which began the trading day down nearly 5% before turning positive later Wednesday morning.

The company’s CEO, Devin Nunes, in a letter Tuesday asked the GOP chairs to probe “anomalous trading” of the stock in order to gauge the extent of the alleged manipulation and “whether any laws including RICO statutes and tax evasion laws were violated.”

The request doubles down on Nunes’ claim that Trump Media, which trades under the ticker DJT, is the apparent victim of “naked” short selling, the practice of selling a company’s shares without first borrowing them for that purpose.

Trump Media, which began trading on the Nasdaq on March 26 after completing a lengthy public merger, was far and away the most expensive U.S. stock to short as of early April.

 I'm not going to try to unravel this or comment any further except to share a quote that meme stocks always bring to mind.

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Friday, May 10, 2024

Deferred Thursday Tweets -- Not sure if presidential brain worms are the weirdest news of the week. Welcome to 2024.






Why would anyone bother doing a deepfake of RFK jr. What can you come up with that will top the real thing?


The possibility that RFK Jr might end up taking more votes from Trump than from Biden has been gaining traction. I'm not going to comment on that except to say it has apparently gotten under someone's skin.


Lots to unpack here with multiple layers of irony.

You could argue that Operation Warp Speed is the greatest accomplishment of the Trump presidency. The fact that his base won't let him brag about it remains arguably the most striking example of what we've been calling feral disinformation.

Now Trump is actually trying to position himself as the most anti-vax candidate despite the fact that, though the issue is passionately held by a substantial segment of the MAGA base, it polls terribly with the general public, not to mention being evil.

Other election news...

For a while, you couldn't pick up a copy of the New York Times quoting some random self-identified Democrat talking about how worried they were about Biden. Now we're hearing similar stories about Trump, but they aren't coming from the NYT.



Elsewhere.



If I were Alex Jones and had the gift of prophecy, I probably would have have known that lying about Sandy Hook would work out badly for me.


The "where Trump failed to bring that to fruition" kinda undercuts the attempted anti-Biden spin.



We'll be talking more about this in a future post.





 

Probably not what Nixon had in mind when he said to run to the center in the general.


In Scott's defense, people in Florida do have reason to be upset about inflation.

Another thing the new iPad can't do.

 

Noem reminds me of this great Mitchell and Webb sketch.



Elsewhere in actual dictator news.

 

Great moments in marketing.




I love these "(but we're not a cult)" asides from Altman and Andreessen. After telling us how their proposals will solve all of our problems and create a utopia, they realize how they sound and assure us they aren't utopians promising to solve all of our problems.





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Thursday, May 9, 2024

And while we're on the subject of tech revisionism...

Here's another repost about 21st century journalists retconning the late 19th century narrative. Based on feed back to the original, I've added some relevant details.


Thursday, March 22, 2018

Tech revisionism and the myth of the killer app

I'm wondering if anyone else there occasionally has a "blogger moment." It is similar to a "senior moment," but it involves either thinking you posted something that you didn't or failing to remember you posted something that you did. I had one of these this morning when I went looking for what I'd written at the time about this egregious piece of tech revisionism by NPR's Laura Sydell.
Years later, an Edison assistant wrote: "We were sitting around. We'd been working on the telephone — yelling into diaphragms. And Edison turned to me, and he said, 'If we put a needle or a pin on this diaphragm, it'll vibrate, and if we pull a strip of wax paper underneath it, it should leave marks. And then if we pull that piece of paper back, we should hear the talking.' "

Yet, no one knew what to do with this invention. It took 20 years to figure out that music was the killer app.

[I should have been more emphatic about the timeline. Dates matter in this story. 

Edison began his career as an inventor in Newark, New Jersey, with the automatic repeater and his other improved telegraphic devices, but the invention that first gained him wider notice was the phonograph in 1877. This accomplishment was so unexpected by the public at large as to appear almost magical. Edison became known as "The Wizard of Menlo Park."

Those early cylinders only lasted for a few plays, had very poor sound quality and could not be mass produced, worthless as a commercial medium for prerecorded music.]

Even a cursory check of the historic record would show that the ability to record and reproduce (since that's what we mean when we talk about "recording" technology) spoken words, music, etc. was instantly hailed as a major discovery, that people immediately saw the potential, particularly for music, and that there was from day one an enormous push by a wide range of inventors and engineers to get the technology commercially viable.

These illustrations from the October 12, 1889 issue of Scientific American illustrate the point.




[And it would be years after this before Edison's engineers were able to mass produce a commercially viable prerecorded record.]

[Speaking of premature attempts to capitalize on technology.]

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